At present, more and more people are wondering: what awaits Ukraine in the future? This country is now living a very busy life: euromaidan, protests, rallies of civilians, reshuffles in power … When and how will the unrest in the state end? How will relations between the two kindred peoples, Russian and Ukrainian, develop in the future? What is the Ukrainian leadership ready to do to normalize the situation in the country? Let's try to make a forecast of the political and economic development of the state.
Ukraine: chronicle of events
How did it all start? On November 28-29, 2013, the Eastern Partnership Summit was to be held in Vilnius, dedicated to the signing of an association agreement between the EU countries and Ukraine. But a few days before that, the country's government announced the suspension of preparations for this significant event for the state. On November 21, the first protest action took place in the center of Kyiv, the main purpose of which was to support European integration. The Eastern Partnership summit did take place. But the association agreement between Ukraine and the European Union on itwas not signed. A new wave of protests has begun.
Among the protesters, there has been a split into "moderates" and radicals. On December 1, on the Maidan, the latter seized the House of Trade Unions and the building of the Kyiv Rada. Now people were not only in favor of signing an agreement on Ukraine's accession to the EU, but also demanded the resignation of the current government headed by President Viktor Yanukovych. But there were also those who were against the rapprochement of the state with the countries of the European Union. In close cooperation with Russia, they saw the future of Ukraine. At that time, no one dared to make a forecast of its further development. In the meantime, protests and clashes between radicals and militias on the streets of cities continued. As a result, the Verkhovna Rada at the end of February removed Viktor Yanukovych from power, amended the country's Constitution and appointed speaker Oleksandr Turchynov to the post of interim president. This caused a mixed assessment in world politics. As you know, Moscow opposes such actions of the Ukrainian government, calling them illegitimate. The US and the EU support the current leaders of Kyiv. How will events develop further? Citizens of the state see the future of Ukraine differently.
What awaits the country after the May 25 elections?
Viktor Yanukovych forcibly removed from power. Moreover, he had to leave his homeland to save his life. Arseniy Yatsenyuk, one of the main leaders of the opposition on the Maidan, became the head of government. On May 25, presidential elections will be held in Ukraine. The maincontenders for the presidency. These are former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko and oligarch Petro Poroshenko. Let's try to figure out how the upcoming elections will affect the future of Ukraine. After the Maidan, the intensity of passions in the country only increased. Western political scientists are confident that the presidential election and subsequent transformations in Ukraine will lead to a normalization of the situation and stabilization of the currently collapsing economy. Presidential candidate Petro Poroshenko has a very high confidence rating from compatriots. Many political scientists believe that he will win the election. According to some political analysts, he will begin his work by resuming the issue of returning Crimea to Ukraine. This will invariably have a negative impact on relations between Russia and the "square". Moreover, it will help bring the latter closer to the EU. At least the first thing he is ready to do when he becomes president is to establish a visa-free regime with the countries of the European Union.
Yulia Tymoshenko has fewer chances to win the elections, as many are sure that the south-east of the country is opposed to her tenure in this post. This is how politicians speak about the future of Ukraine if it becomes the head of state: “A strong presidential power will be formed in the country. All state structures will be subordinated to it. Tymoshenko's policy will be oriented towards the West. As for Russia, Mrs. President will build "warm" and trusting relations with her in order to get the most out of them. In particular, this applies to gas prices. Thus,this woman will successfully maneuver between the EU and Russia.”
Economic situation in Ukraine now and in the future
Russian media do not get tired of repeating the information that the financial condition of Ukraine today leaves much to be desired. The country's economy is destroyed. It is entirely dependent on loans and material assistance from Europe and the United States. Perhaps this information about the financial situation in Ukraine is exaggerated, but the fact that the country needs external support to avoid default is very similar to the truth. Let's try to predict the economic future of Ukraine. Analysts' forecast in this regard is disappointing. The European Union today is trying with all its might to provide all kinds of assistance to the national economy of Ukraine. These are loans, and assistance in reducing dependence on Russian gas, and lowering customs duties on Ukrainian goods imported from the country. However, this assistance is not free. You have to pay for everything. And Ukraine in the near future will have to pay for all these "good deeds": repay debts with interest and make significant changes in social policy that infringe on the financial interests of ordinary citizens. As a result, according to experts, the country will be driven into an even deeper economic crisis. Over time, the EU will refuse to help Ukraine, as all measures to restore its national economy will be ineffective. The countries of Europe will not want to risk their own material well-being anymore for the sake of one state. What awaits Ukraine in the future in this case?This is where the country, whose government is now trying to nullify Moscow's influence on the situation in the state, will most likely be forced to ask for help from Russia. In the meantime, President V. Putin declares that he does not refuse to financially support Ukraine. But the government of the Russian Federation can provide loans to a neighbor only if a legitimate government is formed there.
Map of Ukraine after the split: forecast
Until quite recently, few people believed that Crimea would again become Russian. But today it is exactly so. And the countries of Europe and the United States should recognize this as a fait accompli. On May 11, 2014, referendums were held in the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, as a result of which the citizens of these regions declared their sovereignty. But do world politicians recognize this circumstance? And what will happen to the newly minted Luhansk and Donetsk people's republics now? Will they join Ukraine as independent units or will they turn to the Russian government with a request to accept them? Political scientists believe that quite recently it was possible to prevent the collapse of the country through federalization and granting more rights to the regions. And today there is such a situation that Crimea is lost for the state, and there is a high probability of alienation of the southeast, the population of which far from all supports the current government of Kyiv.
What awaits Ukraine in the future? What changes should be made to the map of the country? According to astrologer Pavel Globa, until 2020 the economiccrisis in this country. After its completion, the political map of the world will be transformed. In 2014, the state will be divided into three parts. One of them will become part of Russia, as we see now in the example of Crimea. The second part will refuse to obey Kyiv and form its own administration, which we are currently seeing in the Donbass. Over time, as the astrologer says, the state may also lose this territory. It is possible that Ukraine itself will cease to exist as a state after overcoming the global economic crisis. As, however, and the EU. This is a subjective view and forecast of Pavel Globa.
What threatens Ukraine with the loss of eastern territories?
After the referendum on May 11, Donetsk and Luhansk declared their independence. In this regard, the question arises: what awaits Ukraine in the future, if it completely loses these regions? Political scientists on this issue express a unanimous opinion: the state will not be able to fully repay loans provided by the EU and the USA. The IMF directly warns Kyiv that if it loses the eastern regions, additional financing of the country's economy may be required. After all, up to 30% of industrial enterprises of the state are concentrated in Kharkov, Luhansk and Donetsk regions. According to Russian analysts, the future of Ukraine lies in the federalization of the country. This is what can save her from a split.
Ukraine and its influential "patrons"
The European Union and the United States actively support the current government of Kyiv, accusing Russia of destabilizing the situation in the country. For their part, they are imposing more and more sanctions against Moscow,wishing thereby to “scare” the Russian Federation and remove it from influencing the politics of Ukraine. What guides the leaders of Europe and the United States in this? Do they really have only one and only goal: to save this state from bankruptcy and split? Let's try to analyze the current situation and find out how this assistance will affect attempts to overcome the economic and political crisis in Ukraine?
Most Russian political analysts agree that the United States has only one goal in this "game": to draw Ukraine into NATO and place units of the organization near the borders with Russia. Many analysts are coming to the conclusion that this may well happen soon. The country will join NATO, and Washington will be able to control the actions of Moscow by placing military bases near the borders of the Russian Federation. As for the second important patron of the country, everything is very clear here. It is assumed that the EU and Ukraine should open their markets to each other. EU countries are looking for new outlets for their products. In this case, Ukraine with its 46 million population will contribute to the positive dynamics in the EU economy. But there is another common goal for the “guardians” of this state: the weakening of the Russian Federation, which has recently played an increasingly important role on the world stage. President Vladimir Putin is confident that the future of Ukraine and Russia lies in close business cooperation between the two countries and support. The two kindred peoples must unite to cope with the current contradictions in politics and the economic crisis. This is exactly what he calls on the Russians and Ukrainians. Iftouch on the predictions of astrologers and psychics, most of them do not see Ukraine as part of the EU. After analyzing the conditions for joining this organization and comparing the possibilities of the country now, we can conclude that this merger is unlikely to ever happen.
Ways out of the crisis
How to solve all the pressing problems of Ukraine now? The current government of the country convinces the population that the way out is in joining the EU. Allegedly, you just need to be patient, survive this difficult time of reducing social benefits and increasing rents, and then everything will be fine. The European Union and the United States will give money so that the state's economy revives and its growth begins. And ordinary citizens believe that soon they will live like Europeans, buying quality goods and receiving a decent salary. But is it? Unrest in the country continues. The political map of Ukraine after the Maidan has already changed. The Russian Federation decided to protect Russian-speaking citizens. The result of this is already known - Ukraine has lost the Crimea, where more than 70% of Russians live. Now it may also lose Donbass, which will have the most negative impact on the country's economy. According to many Russian political scientists, there can be only one way out: the authorities must turn their faces towards the people, stop the punitive operation in the east and take into account all the aspirations of their people. Russian Interior Minister Sergei Lavrov has repeatedly discussed with the US Secretary of State ways out of the political and socio-economic crisis in Ukraine. The main one is the federalization of the country. This is exactly what many representatives of the East seek. Economy of Ukraine in the futurewill undergo great changes. Many analysts are convinced of this today. But how it will develop further depends on what decisions the Kyiv government will make today.
The mood of today's leaders of Ukraine
And how do people who are in power in Kyiv see the further development of the country? Here are the predictions for the future of Ukraine they make. Acting Minister of Foreign Affairs of the country Andrei Deshitsa says that Moscow constantly receives instructions on how Kyiv should act in this or that situation. Such a situation, in his opinion, should be reduced to nothing. The European Union and the United States will help Ukraine in this. It is in the European Union that the diplomat sees the future of his country. Solidarity with him and the Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk. He says that the country should enter the EU, and not the Customs Union at all. The current acting President of Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov also opposes Russian interference in his country's affairs. Thus, we can conclude that the current leaders of Ukraine are set on rapprochement with the European Union and are against cooperation with the Russian Federation.
Relations between Ukraine and Russia in the near future
How will all the events taking place today in the country affect the connection between the two kindred peoples? After all, the majority of ordinary citizens of Ukraine support their government, which opposes rapprochement with Russia. Will the plans of the EU and the US, the main point of which, by some standards of individual politicians, is to quarrel between two fraternal peoples, come true? "The West is notinterested in the fate of Ukraine after the Maidan,” said the leader of the “Ukrainian Choice” Victor Medvedchuk. The leaders of European countries go to great lengths to realize their goals. And the fact that Ukrainians and Russians will hate each other is only to their advantage. But, as many political scientists are sure today, the events in the country will not have a big impact on their relations. Moreover, it is Russia that will soon contribute to Ukraine's exit from the crisis. This will happen when the West refuses to continue to finance the "unreliable" state. It is then that Ukrainians will understand who their “true friend” is.
Political scientists about the future of Ukraine
It is interesting to hear the opinion of experts about what awaits the fraternal country in the future. The German political scientist defines the fate of Ukraine in the future in this way: “The country will not go for rapprochement with Moscow, since it is not profitable for it. Ukraine sees more advantages in close cooperation with the European Union. And all unrest after the presidential elections will be suppressed.” One thing is clear - the state now faces a choice. And its further development will depend on it. And here is how political scientist Vladimir Belyaminov talks about what awaits Ukraine in the future: “Federalization awaits the country. This is the only sure way out of the crisis.” The majority of experts are inclined to the same opinion. Political analyst Vadim Karasev says that regardless of the election results, the future president will have to "deal with an oligarchic federation in the country." In other words, the head of state will have to maneuver between the interests of Ukrainian business tycoons.
Astrologers and psychics about the future of Ukraine
Now it is difficult to predict how the difficult situation in Ukraine will be resolved. Astrologers and psychics are already making forecasts for the development of the state for the coming year. Most of them see the future of Ukraine after the Maidan in the political and economic rapprochement of the country with Russia, and not at all with the EU. But this will happen no earlier than mid-2015, says Igor Nikishin, director of the Ukrainian Astrological Institute of Pavel Globa. He also predicts great transformations in both the political and economic sectors over the next two years. Nazar Lebyak, a participant in the 9th season of the Battle of Psychics, declares that this year will be quite peaceful and calm for Ukrainians. But the numerologist Lyudmila Savina noted that 2014 and 2015 will be difficult for Ukraine, but decisive. At this time, the basic principles of the development of the state in the future will be laid.
Summing up
And now let's summarize the forecast concerning what transformations the politics and economy of Ukraine will undergo after the Maidan. Both political scientists and psychics agree that the worst for the country is behind us. They argue that there will be no more Maidan, and the whole of 2014 will be relatively calm for the state.
Connection of Ukraine with the European Union, most likely, will not happen, despite the fact that the current government is determined to do so. Good advice from Russia on how to overcome the crisis in the country, Ukraine will appreciate after, not earlier than 2015-2020. Ahead of the state is waiting for a lothard work and transformations, but still Ukraine will survive this difficult time and cope with its problems. The EU is likely to cease to exist as an economic entity. The United States will lose its status as a world leader. And Russia is waiting for a new stage of development. And it will not take place without the participation of Ukraine.
